On one end of the spectrum, some focus on AI’s current capabilities and dismiss it due to its limitations. They often overlook the extraordinary growth trajectory, improvements, and cost reductions.
Conversely, others underestimate the time required to adopt and integrate AI into their existing organizations and processes. As I’ve discussed before, adoption isn’t just about technical breakthroughs, it needs complements (like the web browser for the internet), societal readiness (like the shift from horse carriages; people had to learn to drive cars), and relevant infrastructure ramp-up (like the better and cheaper wireless networks 2G and 3G, for the smartphones) in addition to technical breakthrough.
This has been my talking point the last few days since I first came across this concept, succinctly articulated by Kevin Bryan in his tweet a couple of weeks back.
So, which are you?
An optimist – underestimating the time needed for AI adoption and diffusion?
A pessimist – underestimating the pace of AI’s rapid advancements?